12.04.06
Actually no plan, but everything perfectly clear………Italy, day 3 after elections
As one could have expected: a real “mess”, everybody fights everybody, one group of parties are celebrating, the other side are looking for a miracle to happen.
Of course one could understand the former opposition to celebrate victory and make plans for the immediate future; on the other side one cannot deny the former government parties to try and throw light into the grey areas which do exist given the very close results of the elections. In fact, it is just a few tens of thousands of votes that miss for retaining majority in parliament, in the senate things are ever closer. The idea to investigate has found new justification as a few boxes with obviously regular votes have been found in the garbage.
A situation like in old Rome…..
Whatever will happen, a few facts can be stated right now:
- It will take months until a new government will be in power and work can begin. Only after the election of a new State’s president, scheduled for 13 May, order for the emplacement of a new government can be given. This won’t be all too easy as there as well majorities play a role. It will be difficult in any case to find a good successor to a great president as Ciampi has been.
- Who ever might lead a new government, it will be a most difficult task; this country has suffered a further and deep division during the last election campaign, the ongoing discussions and fights will not help in this regard.
- Each day with new clashes will further diminish the remote chances for a great coalition. Italians, pragmatic as they can be in other circumstances, are more than hard to convince in that direction, despite the fact this might be a way to come to grips with the problems of today and to-morrow. I have my doubts whether Berlusconi’s “offer/invitation” in favour of a great coalition was truly serious or just another way to gain time. As summary: this solution is just a fiction and most probably has zero chances to be put in place.
- Most important issues will remain unsolved for the time being, thereafter their implementation will be extremely difficult, particularly so should the right wing parties achieve a minimum majority in the senate in the end.
- In an attempt to look at things in an objective way new elections might not be the worst solution as now each Italian citizen would know that each and every vote counts. Chances for that, however, are close to zero as well.
Results for the time being: Everything is crystal clear, no-one has the foggiest idea about anything, nobody knows where to head for, but they all start “marching”. Spring sun shines brightly over the country, the people are as gentle as they were before the elections, the country will, in one way or the other, overcome.
In the meantime other countries’ media will closely follow events and certainly not fail in making a mock of Italy and offering well meant suggestions. This, too, will not change.
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